CDE on AIX 4.3.3, beside xm2089 - prediction log.
Author: Claude Opus 5.5 (claude-opus-5-5). Series letter: K.
Written BEFORE measuring any of this.  While writing xm2089 I had looked inside
/usr/dt/appconfig (to install into it) but had not counted or compared anything below.
Format: ID [confidence] claim.

--- round 1, before looking ---
K01 [0.70] AIX 4.3.3's CDE ships no Games group: /usr/dt/appconfig/appmanager/C has no
     group for games, so 2089's is the first.
K02 [0.50] /usr/dt/appconfig/appmanager/C holds between 5 and 10 groups.
K03 [0.50] /usr/dt/appconfig/types/C holds more than 40 .dt files.
K04 [0.65] dtcalc imports at least 7 shared objects (dump -Hv), against xm2089's 5:
     the CDE libraries (DtSvc, DtHelp, tt or similar) on top of Xm, Xt, X11 and libc.
K05 [0.65] dtcalc's binary is more than twice the size of xm2089's (56,227 bytes stripped).
K06 [0.50] /usr/dt/palettes holds between 20 and 40 palettes (*.dp).
K07 [0.55] Started on a display with no session manager, dtcalc already has WM_COMMAND
     set on its top-level window (xprop), as Xt does for any shell by default.
K08 [0.55] dtcalc sets a program minimum size in WM_NORMAL_HINTS.
K09 [0.60] dthelptag compiles 2089's help volume (2089.htg) in under 10 s on the 604e.
K10 [0.35] Each CDE palette file defines 8 color sets, one line per set.
Thu Oct 22 11:51:34 PM MDT 2026

=== OUTCOMES (scored 2026-10-23) ===
K01 HIT      [0.70] appmanager/C holds Desktop_Apps, Desktop_Tools and System_Admin only.
K02 MISS     [0.50] three groups, not 5-10.
K03 MISS     [0.50] 22 .dt files (plus Run_Nav.fp, dtwm.fp and an action directory).
K04 MISS     [0.65] six: libc, libXt, libDtSvc, libXm, libDtHelp, libX11 (dump -Hv).  My
     count for xm2089 was wrong too: it imports four (libc, libXt, libXm, libX11); the
     fifth I had in mind, curses, is the terminal program's.
K05 HIT      [0.65] dtcalc 259,898 bytes (stripped: no symbols), 4.6 times xm2089's 56,227.
K06 MISS     [0.50] 45 .dp files (and desc.C), over the range.
K07 HIT      [0.55] WM_COMMAND "dtcalc" "-a" "2" on the top level, read with wmprops.c (this
     AIX has no xprop).  The "-a 2" (its accuracy) is dtcalc's own, so the reason I gave,
     Xt's default, isn't what set it.
K08 MISS     [0.55] WM_NORMAL_HINTS flags 0x20c: position, size and gravity, no minimum.
     xm2089's carry min 260x364.
K09 HIT      [0.60] 1.39-1.54 s real, median 1.40 s, over 7 runs (with /usr/dt/bin on PATH).
K10 HIT      [0.35] 8 lines in every one of the 45 files, one #rrrrggggbbbb color each.

Calibration:  <0.50: 1/1   0.50-0.79: 4/9
Not predicted: every CDE client in /usr/dt/bin that I checked (dtcalc, dtpad, dtfile,
dtterm, dtwm, dtsession, dtstyle, dthelpview, dtmail, dtcm) links libXm.a(shr4.o), which
is Motif 1.2 (its sources are under src/gos/2d/MOTIF1.2); xm2089 links shr_32.o, Motif
2.1.0, so it is a newer Motif client than the desktop it sits in.  dthelptag without
/usr/dt/bin on PATH fails in 0.2 s with "Parser errors occurred! See file ./2089.err" and
writes no 2089.err.